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2024-12-14 11:24:57

This is what I said on Wednesday, not today. If you are interested, you can turn to the previous article. I am not a person who has gone up without thinking and boasted too much, but has gone down without thinking and being bearish. My analysis is based on technology, but unfortunately many people don't recognize it. But at least in my place, the timing effect of technical analysis is very good, which is enough.Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 920, while the number of individual stocks fell by 4,410. Yesterday's general increase turned into today's general decline. Remember the plot to lure more investors that I suggested on Wednesday, and it came true after a day. Time-sharing handicap was boring, and it was smashed at the opening, and it was normal to dive again at the end of the session.So, as I emphasized above, the market can go up for 12 days on expectations, but if it is delayed, it is expected to be exhausted one day. There was a lot of noise about letting water out, but the faucet was tightened, and a lock was added without saying anything. Who can stand it! Today's plunge does not rule out the intention of forcing the above to continue to release water, and see if it will be introduced at the weekend.


In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's plunge is mainly due to the fact that market funds began to vote with their feet after the expected landing of heavy meetings. After all, this market can be speculated for a while by expectations, but the continuous promotion still depends on the face of funds. The most important thing is that hot money and quantitative crazy speculation have diverted a lot of money, and the market needs to seek a new balance through adjustment.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.Emotionally, there are 98 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 262 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the daily limit stocks have finally been suppressed under 100, but the daily limit stocks are almost meaningless. Simply speaking, the market restructuring structure is not over yet, and those who like to play the relay have not felt the pain. It is necessary to squeeze these funds out of the junk ticket.


First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.

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